Every trader has wondered: “What would my account look like if I just stopped doing that one thing?”
The What-If Simulator answers this question with real data. It takes your actual trade history, removes the trades associated with a specific behavioral pattern, and recalculates everything — net P&L, equity curve, max drawdown, win rate, profit factor.
The result is often the most motivating analysis a trader can see.
How It Works
The simulator doesn’t guess or project. It uses your real trades:
- Start with your complete trade history for the selected period
- Identify trades matching a pattern (e.g., all revenge trading clusters, or all trades during your worst 3 hours)
- Remove those trades from the set
- Recompute all metrics with the remaining trades
- Show before and after side by side
No Monte Carlo simulation. No random sampling. No projections. Just: “Here’s what your actual results would look like without this specific behavior.”
What You Can Simulate
Remove Revenge Trading Clusters
The most common and most powerful simulation. Revenge clusters are bursts of trades after losses where quality degrades:
Before: Net P&L: -$2,340 | 184 trades | Win rate: 44%
After removing revenge clusters (32 trades in 8 clusters):
- Net P&L: +$1,120
- Trades: 152
- Win rate: 49%
- Recoverable: $3,460
That’s the gap. $3,460 of damage from 32 trades you didn’t need to take.
Remove Worst Trading Hours
Every trader has 2-3 hours that consistently produce negative expectancy:
Before: Net P&L: +$850 over 30 days
After removing hours 22:00-01:00 (your worst window):
- Net P&L: +$2,190
- You were losing $1,340 in those 3 hours
- Everything else was net positive
Cap Daily Trade Count
What if you stopped after your 15th trade each day?
Before: Average 28 trades/day, net P&L: +$3,200/month
After capping at 15: Net P&L: +$4,800/month
- Trades 16-28 were losing $1,600/month in aggregate
- Fewer trades, better results
Remove Worst Symbols
What if you stopped trading the instruments where you consistently lose?
Before: Trading 8 symbols, net P&L: -$500
After removing 2 worst symbols: Net P&L: +$1,200
- Two symbols were costing $1,700 combined
- Your edge in the other 6 symbols was real
Remove Size Spike Trades
What if your position size never exceeded your normal range?
Before: Net P&L: -$1,800
After removing trades with size > 2x your average: Net P&L: +$600
- Oversized positions cost $2,400
- Normal-sized trading was profitable
Why This Works Psychologically
Traditional performance analysis shows you what went wrong. The What-If simulator shows you what’s possible.
There’s a critical psychological difference:
- “You lost $3,460 to revenge trading” → creates guilt and frustration
- “Your actual edge is +$1,120 when you don’t revenge trade” → creates motivation and a clear target
The simulator reframes the problem. You don’t have a “trading problem.” You have a specific, identifiable behavior that’s costing a specific, measurable amount. Fix that behavior and you’re profitable.
Real Examples of What-If Insights
Example 1: The Profitable Trader Who Doesn’t Know It
See what your trading mistakes actually cost
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